Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 4-1 Vaduz Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 Ajax
Despite failing to win any of the league encounters between the teams last time out, Ajax have dominated this fixture to a large degree, and it is hard to foresee any other result rather than a win for them. While we expect AZ Alkmaar to give a good account of themselves, we are also backing the visitors to carry the day.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.84% . A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.2% .
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.01%) . The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood .
Result AZ Alkmaar Draw Ajax 26.96% ( -1) 22.2% ( -0.18) 50.84% ( 1.19)
Both teams to score 63.22% ( -0.22)
63.47% ( 0.08) 36.53% ( -0.08)
41.32% ( 0.09) 58.68% ( -0.09)
74.07% ( -0.64) 25.93% ( 0.64)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.07% ( -0.87) 60.93% ( 0.87)
85.36% ( 0.43) 14.64% ( -0.43)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.22% ( 0.82) 42.78% ( -0.82)
AZ Alkmaar 26.96%
Ajax 50.84%
Draw 22.2%
AZ Alkmaar Draw Ajax 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.96% 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.2% 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.31% Total : 50.84%
How you voted: AZ vs Ajax
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rhs 2.0
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