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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | FC Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Groningen | 1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 85.15%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 5.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 4-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
85.15% ( 0.04) | 9.51% ( -0.02) | 5.34% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.1% ( 0.07) | 20.9% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.64% ( 0.1) | 39.37% ( -0.1) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.64% ( 0.02) | 3.36% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.22% ( 0.06) | 14.78% ( -0.05) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.84% ( 0.02) | 44.16% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.75% ( 0.02) | 80.25% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
3-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 8.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% 6-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 7-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.67% Total : 85.15% | 1-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.05% Total : 9.51% | 1-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 5.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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