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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 7.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
80.44% | 12.53% | 7.02% |
Both teams to score 49.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.69% | 30.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.42% | 51.58% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.22% | 5.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.73% | 22.27% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.68% | 47.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.28% | 82.72% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
2-0 @ 11.12% 3-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 7.91% 1-0 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 7.53% 4-1 @ 5.64% 5-0 @ 4.29% 5-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 2.11% 6-0 @ 2.04% 6-1 @ 1.53% 5-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.21% Total : 80.43% | 1-1 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 3.11% 0-0 @ 2.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 12.53% | 1-2 @ 2.19% 0-1 @ 2.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 7.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |