Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match.
