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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
14.97% | 19.75% | 65.28% |
Both teams to score 52.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.04% | 41.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% | 64.37% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.39% | 40.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.79% | 77.2% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.93% | 12.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.41% | 37.58% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 4.42% 2-1 @ 4.21% 2-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.75% Total : 14.97% | 1-1 @ 9.34% 0-0 @ 4.9% 2-2 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.75% | 0-2 @ 10.95% 0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 6.96% 0-4 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.14% 0-5 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.66% 1-5 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.56% Total : 65.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |