Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 90.2%. A draw had a probability of 6.8% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 3.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.05%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 90.2% | 6.78% | 3.03% |
| Both teams to score 47.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.38% | 18.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 63.85% | 36.15% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.61% | 2.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 88.67% | 11.33% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.34% | 51.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.22% | 85.78% |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 90.18%
VVV-Venlo 3.03%
Draw 6.78%
| Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 3-0 @ 10.75% 4-0 @ 10.05% 2-0 @ 8.63% 5-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 7.11% 4-1 @ 6.64% 2-1 @ 5.7% 5-1 @ 4.97% 6-0 @ 4.68% 1-0 @ 4.62% 6-1 @ 3.09% 7-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 2.19% 7-1 @ 1.65% 5-2 @ 1.64% 8-0 @ 1.17% 6-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.89% Total : 90.18% | 1-1 @ 3.05% 2-2 @ 1.88% 0-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.61% Total : 6.78% | 1-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.02% Total : 3.03% |
How you voted: Ajax vs VVV-Venlo
Ajax
87.0%Draw
8.7%VVV-Venlo
4.3%46
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
VVV-Venlo
0-13
Ajax
May 3, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Ajax
P-P
VVV-Venlo
Aug 17, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
VVV-Venlo
1-4
Ajax
Feb 2, 2019 6.45pm
Aug 18, 2018 5.30pm
