Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-3 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 2-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.