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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
34.86% | 24.89% | 40.25% |
Both teams to score 57.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.62% | 45.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.29% | 67.71% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.67% | 25.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.89% | 60.11% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.54% | 22.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.99% | 56.01% |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 8.01% 1-0 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.86% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-1 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 4.34% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |