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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
47.57% | 23.52% | 28.91% |
Both teams to score 60.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.61% | 41.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.22% | 63.78% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.37% | 17.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.78% | 48.22% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% | 27.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% | 62.46% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.4% 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.84% Total : 47.57% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-1 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.01% Total : 28.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |