Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.