Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Jan 12, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
1 - 0
Utrecht

Doekhi (26')
Bruns (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van der Maarel (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	FC Utrecht
42.94%	22.66%	34.4%

Both teams to score 66.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.33%

34.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.38%

56.62%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21%

16.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.26%

46.74%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39%

20.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.84%

53.16%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 42.94%

FC Utrecht 34.4%

Draw 22.66%

Vitesse	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.7% 1-0 @ 6.17% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.47% Total : 42.94%	1-1 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 6.87% 0-0 @ 3.46% 3-3 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.66%	1-2 @ 7.7% 0-1 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.94% Total : 34.4%