Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 14.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.