Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Dec 23, 2020 at 3.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
3 - 1
Vitesse

Karlsson (5'), Boadu (40'), Druijf (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Openda (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between AZ and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Vitesse
48.61%	24.06%	27.32%

Both teams to score 56.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05%

44.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.69%

67.3%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.41%

18.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.12%

49.87%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95%

30.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82%

66.18%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 48.61%

Vitesse 27.32%

Draw 24.06%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.61%	1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.06%	1-2 @ 6.79% 0-1 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.14% Total : 27.32%