Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.