Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
