Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
