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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
27.88% | 23.78% | 48.34% |
Both teams to score 58.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.72% | 43.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.33% | 65.67% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% | 28.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.38% | 64.62% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.95% | 18.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.05% | 48.95% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 6.9% 1-0 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 4.03% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.49% Total : 27.88% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-1 @ 8.89% 0-2 @ 7.61% 1-3 @ 5.41% 0-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.61% Total : 48.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |