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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for AZ had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest AZ win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
39.9% | 24.79% | 35.31% |
Both teams to score 58.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.14% | 44.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.78% | 67.21% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.59% | 22.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.07% | 55.93% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% | 24.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.57% | 59.42% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-1 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |