Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Nov 7, 2020 at 5.45pm UK

De Koel

VVV-Venlo
3 - 2
Heracles

Arias (51'), van Crooy (67'), Giakoumakis (88')
Post (31'), van Crooy (37')

FT(HT: 0-1)

van der Water (38'), Vloet (78' pen.)
Szoke (45+2')

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between VVV-Venlo and Heracles.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	Heracles
42.57%	27.6%	29.83%

Both teams to score 47.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.13%

57.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.41%

78.58%

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12%

26.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81%

62.19%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.07%

34.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.33%

71.66%

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 42.57%

Heracles 29.83%

Draw 27.59%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 12.33% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.57%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.15% Total : 29.83%