Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 24, 2021 at 11.15am UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 2
Ajax

Tirpan (48')
Polter (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Polter (19' og.), Haller (64')
Tagliafico (45+2'), Neres (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-3 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
10.11%	14.16%	75.73%

Both teams to score 58.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.97%

27.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.47%

47.53%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.01%

37.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.24%

74.76%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.07%

5.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.3%

22.7%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 10.11%

Ajax 75.73%

Draw 14.16%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 2.98% 1-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.36% 2-0 @ 1.06% 3-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.57% Total : 10.11%	1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 4.21% 0-0 @ 2.26% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.25% Total : 14.16%	0-2 @ 9% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-3 @ 8.47% 1-3 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 6.37% 0-4 @ 5.98% 1-4 @ 5.79% 2-3 @ 3.97% 0-5 @ 3.38% 1-5 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.8% 0-6 @ 1.59% 2-5 @ 1.58% 1-6 @ 1.54% 3-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 4.17% Total : 75.73%