Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Dec 23, 2020 at 5.45pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
1 - 1
Ajax

Okyere Wriedt (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Antony (4')
Antony (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 9.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-3 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Ajax
9.95%	14.1%	75.95%

Both teams to score 57.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.77%

27.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.21%

47.79%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.56%

38.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.81%

75.19%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.06%

5.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.28%

22.72%

Score Analysis

Willem II 9.95%

Ajax 75.95%

Draw 14.1%

Willem II	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 2.95% 1-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.33% 2-0 @ 1.04% 3-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.51% Total : 9.95%	1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 4.16% 0-0 @ 2.28% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.1%	0-2 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-3 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 6.45% 0-4 @ 6.05% 1-4 @ 5.79% 2-3 @ 3.92% 0-5 @ 3.42% 1-5 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.77% 0-6 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.56% 1-6 @ 1.54% Other @ 5.01% Total : 75.95%