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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Willem II |
38.17% | 24.89% | 36.94% |
Both teams to score 58.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% | 45.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% | 67.48% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.59% | 23.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.6% | 57.39% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% | 24.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% | 58.33% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Willem II |
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-1 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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