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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
63.45% | 20.12% | 16.43% |
Both teams to score 54.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.26% | 40.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.87% | 63.13% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.79% | 12.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.12% | 37.88% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.03% | 37.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.26% | 74.74% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.67% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 4.81% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.12% | 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-1 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |