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Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2021 at 7pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
VVV-Venlo

Vitesse
4 - 1
VVV-Venlo

Openda (3'), Bazoer (57'), Tronstad (75'), Broja (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giakoumakis (19' pen.)

Preview: Vitesse vs. VVV-Venlo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and VVV-Venlo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides who have lost their last three league games meet at the GelreDome on Saturday when Vitesse host VVV-Venlo in a significant game at both ends of the Eredivisie table.

This is the second meeting between the sides in the space of 30 days, after VVV crushed Saturday's hosts 4-1 in last month's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Following a 3-1 defeat away at PSV Eindhoven on Sunday which was their fifth consecutive league game without a win, Vitesse have slipped out of the top four for the first time in a long while.

They led at half time courtesy of Armando Broja's well-taken finish inside the opening five minutes, but their hosts rallied in the second half to secure the victory.

Thomas Letsch's men began the year as Ajax's nearest challengers before a dismal run of one point from a possible 15 put them well off the pace.

Vitas are now 14 points off the top despite having played an extra game, and it is safe to say that their title hopes are now over, leaving qualification for European football as the new target.

However, they are still in the KNVB-Beker, where they will be facing VVV in the semi-final as they go in search of a first major trophy in over three years.

Since that aforementioned win over Vitesse at the Covebo Stadion, Venlo have lost the subsequent three league games by an aggregate score of 10-4.

Their most recent defeat came at the hands of AZ Alkmaar, who cruised to a 4-1 victory after a dominant display in the second half.

Prior to that, Hans de Koning's men were on a five-game unbeaten streak which gave them some breathing space in the race for survival.

They are still relatively comfortable, ahead of 16th-placed Willem II by eight points, but they will be wary of getting sucked back into a relegation scrap.

Saturday's visitors have lost their last two away games at Vitesse, so they will anticipate a tough encounter despite the latter's current form.

Vitesse Eredivisie form: WLDLLL
Vitesse form (all competitions): LDLWLL

VVV-Venlo Eredivisie form: DWWLLL
VVV-Venlo form (all competitions): WWLLWL


Team News

Giorgos Giakoumakis remains the Eredivisie's top scorer with 22 goals, including a four-goal haul when the sides met at the Covebo Stadion.

Guus Hupperts has been sidelined with a knee problem since December, although he has made the bench on a couple of occasions since then.

Tristan Dekker is still a few weeks away from making his return to action as he continues to nurse a muscle tear, and he will miss the game.

Armando Broja's opener at the Philips Stadion was his ninth goal of the season in all competitions, and getting into double figures would be his next objective.

Enrico Hernandez has had his transition to the first team stalled by an ankle injury, but it should not be too long before he returns to action.

Vitesse possible starting lineup:
Pasveer; Wittek, Rasmussen, Bazoer, Doekhi, Dasa; Tannane, Bero, Bruns; Broja, Openda

VVV-Venlo possible starting lineup:
Kirschbaum; Guwara, Da Graca, Gelmi, Pachonik; Linthorst, Donis, Post; Van Crooy, Giakoumakis, John


SM words green background

We say: Vitesse 2-1 VVV-Venlo

Both sides are decent going forward as they have shown in recent games, so we expect both of them to get on the scoresheet in this one. Nonetheless, we are backing Vitesse to put an end to a miserable run, and get their season back on track.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Vitesse vs VVV-Venlo

Vitesse
100%
Draw
0.0%
VVV-Venlo
0.0%
19
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Ron Jans, now in charge of FC Twente, pictured in September 2019
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

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Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

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Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

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Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

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Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

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Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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