Euro 2024

European Championship | Quarter-Finals

Jul 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

Volksparkstadion

Portugal
vs.
France

Preview

Data Analysis

Predicted XI

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship clash between Portugal and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final against France.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Portugal 0-0 Slovenia (3-0 pen.)
Monday, July 1 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	Turkey	3	0	6
3	Georgia	3	0	4
4	Czech Republic	3	-2	1

France

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: France 1-0 Belgium
Monday, July 1 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	3	2	6
2	France	3	1	5
3	Netherlands	3	0	4
4	Poland	3	-3	1

A Portugal side scoreless in two matches facing a France side to have shipped just one goal in their last six matches points to more offensive misery for the Selecao, whose own defence can still expect to hold out for large periods against an equally timid Bleus attack. Whether Friday is the day that one of Deschamps's men scores from open play remains to be seen, but the 2018 World Cup winners are not short of methods to force the ball over the line, and for that reason, another one-goal triumph could come the way of Les Bleus and bring the curtain down on Ronaldo's Euros career. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for France has a probability of 32.79% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest France win is 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
Portugal	Draw	France
41.42%	25.79%	32.79%

Both teams to score 54.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.17%

49.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.17%

71.82%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16%

23.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.99%

58.01%

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26%

28.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43%

64.57%

Score Analysis

Portugal 41.42%

France 32.79%

Draw 25.78%

Portugal	Draw	France
1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.42%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.79%