Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Nacional
Portugal1 - 2Croatia
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Portugal and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Saturday's international friendly with Croatia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portugal 4-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Portugal 2-1 Croatia
Portugal are unbeaten in their seven previous games with Croatia, and we are expecting that run to be extended this weekend. Three of Portugal's last four wins over Croatia have been by the odd goal, and we are predicting a narrow success for Martinez's team in this glamour international friendly. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Croatia win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Croatia |
64.61% ( 0.12) | 19.22% ( 0.23) | 16.16% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( -1.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
