After a busy season, both squads may lack some sharpness in their first June friendly, with either manager using Monday's match to assess their options. Therefore, the hosts should pick up a positive result without reaching top gear, ahead of a tougher test against Portugal next time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 73.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 8.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.44%) and 3-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
Croatia	Draw	North Macedonia
73.6% ( 2.26)	17.8% ( -1.2)	8.6% ( -1.06)

Both teams to score 38.05% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3% (

1.72)

49.69% (

-1.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.29% (

1.53)

71.71% (

-1.53)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88% (

1.16)

12% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.55% (

2.4)

37.45% (

-2.4)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.24% (

-1.26)

56.76% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.09% (

-0.73)

88.91% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Croatia 73.59%

North Macedonia 8.6%

Draw 17.8%

Croatia	Draw	North Macedonia
2-0 @ 15.31% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 14.44% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.59) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.22) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 73.59%	1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.35% Total : 17.8%	0-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.34% Total : 8.6%