Friendlies 1
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Portugal5 - 2Sweden
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Portugal and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Thursday's international friendly clash with Sweden.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Iceland
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Estonia
Friday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Friday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
We said: Portugal 2-1 Sweden
It remains to be seen how strong both teams will line up for this contest, but Sweden will be somewhat boosted by the news that Ronaldo is among a number of Portuguese regulars who will not be involved on Thursday. A closely-contested encounter could therefore be on the cards, with Sweden hoping to make a bright start under Tomasson, but we believe that Portugal will still have enough quality on show to secure the victory on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 75.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 9.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Sweden |
75.98% ( 0.69) | 14.66% ( -0.45) | 9.35% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.6% ( 1.49) | 32.4% ( -1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.97% ( 1.72) | 54.03% ( -1.72) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.93% ( 0.47) | 7.07% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.2% ( 1.25) | 25.79% ( -1.26) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.54% ( 0.58) | 43.45% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.33% ( 0.48) | 79.67% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
Portugal 75.99%
Sweden 9.35%
Draw 14.66%
| Portugal | Draw | Sweden |
| 2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.19)5-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.12)6-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.1)6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.57% Total : 75.99% | 1-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.66% | 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 9.35% |
How you voted: Portugal vs Sweden
Portugal
75.2%Draw
14.9%Sweden
9.9%101
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2017 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Portugal
2-3
Sweden
Nov 19, 2013 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Sweden
2-3
Portugal
Form Guide
