MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 22:42:40| >> :600:482667:482667:
[monks data]
Sweden national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Friends Arena
Portugal national football team

Sweden
0 - 2
Portugal


Svensson (14'), Andersson (90')
Svensson (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ronaldo (45+1', 72')
Guerreiro (57'), Felix (86')

Preview: Sweden vs. Portugal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Sweden and Portugal, including team news and predicted lineups.

Portugal will be looking to move onto six points in Group 3 of League A when they continue their 2020-21 UEFA Nations League tournament away to Sweden on Tuesday night.

Fernando Santos's side, who are the holders of the trophy, thumped Croatia 4-1 on Saturday in their first game of the latest edition, while Sweden suffered a 1-0 home defeat to France.


Match preview

Sweden manager Janne Andersson on November 13, 2017© Reuters

Sweden can be pleased with their performance against France last time out, with only a Kylian Mbappe effort late in the first period separating the two teams at the end of the 90 minutes.

Janne Andersson's side really need to pick up some points against Portugal, though, if they are to stand a chance of making an impression in Group 3, which is a very tough section on paper.

Sweden actually collected seven points from their four Group B2 games in the 2018-19 UEFA Nations League to finish top of the section, earning promotion to League A for the latest edition.

The Blue and Yellows will mainly be focusing on preparing for next summer's European Championships, though, having finished second in Group F behind Spain to book their spot in the finals.

Portugal's Joao Felix celebrates scoring against Croatia alongside his teammates in the UEFA Nations League on September 5, 2020© Reuters

Portugal, meanwhile, were excellent in their 2020-21 opener on Saturday, thumping Croatia 4-1 in Porto to ensure that they would top the section despite France also picking up a victory on the same night.

Joao Cancelo, Diogo Jota, Joao Felix and Andre Silva scored the goals for the home side, and the result was even more impressive considering the absence of Cristiano Ronaldo through injury.

A Selecao triumphed in the inaugural season of the UEFA Nations League, beating Switzerland in the semi-finals before recording a 1-0 victory over the Netherlands in the final last June.

Portugal qualified for next summer's Euros courtesy of a second-placed finish in Group B, and they are the defending European champions, having overcome holders France in the 2016 final.

Santos's team will be looking for another three points on Tuesday night ahead of their next two UEFA Nations League matches away to France and at home to Sweden in October.

Sweden Nations League form: LDWWL
Sweden form (all competitions): DWWWWL

Portugal Nations League form: DDWWW
Portugal form (all competitions): WWLWWW


Team News

Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo celebrates scoring their second goal on November 14, 2019© Reuters

Sweden boss Andersson is expected to stick with the bulk of the XI that started against France on Saturday, with Robin Quaison likely to retain his spot in the final third alongside leading scorer Marcus Berg.

Juventus attacker Dejan Kulusevski appeared off the bench against the world champions to earn just his second cap and could now come into the starting side in a wide position.

Manchester United centre-back Victor Lindelof and Brentford's Pontus Jansson should feature at the back, while RB Leipzig attacker Emil Forsberg will again be selected for the Blue and Yellows.

As for Portugal, the main talking point surrounds a certain Ronaldo, who missed out against Croatia on Saturday night due to a toe infection. The Juventus forward is expected to return to the XI for this game, though, and will be looking for his 100th goal for the national side.

Anthony Lopes could again get the nod over Rui Patricio between the sticks, while Manchester United's Bruno Fernandes and Manchester City's Bernardo Silva will both keep their spots.

Jota could be the player to make way for Ronaldo as Joao Felix should feature once again, while Joao Moutinho is likely to battle Wolverhampton Wanderers teammate Ruben Neves for a spot in midfield.

Everton's Andre Gomes, though, has been forced to withdraw from the squad through injury.

Sweden possible starting lineup:
Olsen; Lustig, Jansson, Lindelof, Bengtsson; Kulusevski, Olsson, Ekdal, Forsberg; Quaison, Berg

Portugal possible starting lineup:
Lopes; Cancelo, Pepe, Dias, Guerreiro; Fernandes, Danilo, Moutinho; Ronaldo, Felix, Bernardo


SM words green background

We say: Sweden 0-2 Portugal

Ronaldo's expected return will be a huge boost for Portugal, who were excellent against Croatia on Saturday night. Sweden's performance against France was impressive, but we are finding it difficult to back against the visitors, ultimately tipping a 2-0 success for the UEFA Nations League holders.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:-


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Sweden and Portugal?

Sweden
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portugal
100%
1
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League A1

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Portugal Portugal431010
2 Croatia Croatia42117
3 Poland Poland41124
4 Scotland flag Scotland40131

League A2

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Italy Italy431010
2 France France43019
3 Belgium Belgium41124
4 Israel Israel40040

League A3

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany431010
2 Netherlands Netherlands41215
3 Hungary Hungary41215
4 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina40131

League A4

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain431010
2 Denmark Denmark42117
3 Serbia Serbia41124
4 Switzerland Switzerland40131

League B1

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic42117
2 Georgia Georgia42026
3 Albania national flag Albania42026
4 Ukraine Ukraine41124

League B2

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Greece Greece440012
2 England flag England43019
3 Ireland Rep. Ireland41033
4 Finland Finland40040

League B3

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Norway Norway42117
2 Austria Austria42117
3 Slovenia Slovenia42117
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan40131

League B4

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey431010
2 Wales flag Wales42208
3 Iceland Iceland41124
4 Montenegro Montenegro40040

League C1

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Sweden Sweden431010
2 Slovakia Slovakia431010
3 Estonia Estonia41033
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan40040

League C2

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania440012
2 Kosovo flag Kosovo43019
3 Cyprus Cyprus41033
4 Lithuania Lithuania40040

League C3

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland42117
2 Belarus Belarus41306
3 Bulgaria Bulgaria41215
4 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg40222

League C4

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Macedonia N. Macedonia431010
2 Armenia Armenia41124
3 Latvia Latvia41124
4 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands40313

League D1

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar31205
2 San Marino flag San Marino21013
3 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein30212

League D2

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Republic of Moldova Moldova32016
2 Malta flag Malta32016
3 Andorra flag Andorra20020


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