Sweden2 - 1Estonia
Mihhailov (35'), Andre Vallner (84')
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, November 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
Sunday, November 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
We said: Sweden 2-1 Estonia
Sweden may have named an inexperienced squad for the trip to Cyprus, but we still expect them to have enough quality to edge past Estonia in Friday's friendly. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 76.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 7.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.47%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sweden in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sweden.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Estonia |
76.95% ( -0.05) | 15.85% ( -0.03) | 7.2% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 37.69% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% ( 0.44) | 46.2% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( 0.41) | 68.49% ( -0.42) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.84% ( 0.1) | 10.15% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.23) | 33.37% ( -0.23) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.95% ( 0.51) | 58.04% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.38% ( 0.28) | 89.62% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | Estonia |
| 2-0 @ 15.41% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 76.93% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.34% Total : 15.85% | 0-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2% Total : 7.2% |
