We said: Estonia 0-3 Sweden
Sweden have won 16 and drawn one versus Estonia in the past, and despite a sluggish start to their Group F campaign they can now make the most of their firepower in Tallinn. Doubts remain over the Blagult's tactical set-up and selections under Janne Andersson, but they have more than enough nous to see off their hosts.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sweden win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.