Friendlies 1

Jan 9, 2023 at 6.45pm UK

Estádio Do Algarve

Sweden
2 - 0
Finland

Nyman (38'), Asoro (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ivanov (29')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Sweden and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Algeria
Saturday, November 19 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Finland

All competitions

Last Game: Norway 1-1 Finland
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

With both nations unable to call upon a raft of talented senior professionals, it could be a dour affair in Portugal on Monday. Both managers will be hoping some of their debutants can impress them ahead of Euro 2024 qualifying beginning in March. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Finland had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Finland
53.22% ( -0.16)	25.4% ( -0)	21.39% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 46.64% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.5% (

0.17)

55.5% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32% (

0.14)

76.68% (

-0.14)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12% (

20.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.41% (

0.01)

53.58% (

-0.01)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.94% (

0.27)

41.05% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.4% (

0.24)

77.6% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Sweden 53.2%

Finland 21.39%

Draw 25.39%

Sweden	Draw	Finland
1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.2%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.39%