MX23RW : Saturday, June 15 00:44:46| >> :60:2693:2693:
Sweden national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Azerbaijan national football team

Sweden
5 - 0
Azerbaijan

Forsberg (38'), Mustafazada (65' og.), Gyokeres (79'), Karlsson (88'), Elanga (89')
Gyokeres (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cafarquliyev (28'), Isaev (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Sweden and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 0-3 Belgium
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 4-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Sweden 2-0 Azerbaijan

Despite suffering a convincing defeat to Belgium on Friday, we expect Sweden to bounce back with a relatively comfortable victory against Azerbaijan at Friends Stadium. Although the visitors do not represent the pushovers they may have done around a decade ago, the return of Ibrahimovic should provide plenty of character and ability to Sweden's frontline, especially with Kulusevski able to enjoy starting from a wider position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawAzerbaijan
55.04% (-0.347 -0.35) 24.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 20.4% (0.314 0.31)
Both teams to score 47.66% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (0.24 0.24)53.44% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (0.202 0.2)74.97% (-0.206 -0.21)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)19.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.89% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)51.11% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (0.475 0.48)40.91% (-0.478 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (0.423 0.42)77.48% (-0.426 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 55.02%
    Azerbaijan 20.4%
    Draw 24.55%
SwedenDrawAzerbaijan
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 10.67% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.4%

How you voted: Sweden vs Azerbaijan

Sweden
82.7%
Draw
10.0%
Azerbaijan
7.3%
110
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Group Stage
Spain
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Saturday, June 22
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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