MX23RW : Tuesday, June 18 11:24:01| >> :60:488:488:
Sweden national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Azerbaijan national football team

Sweden
5 - 0
Azerbaijan

Forsberg (38'), Mustafazada (65' og.), Gyokeres (79'), Karlsson (88'), Elanga (89')
Gyokeres (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cafarquliyev (28'), Isaev (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Sweden and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 0-3 Belgium
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 4-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Sweden 2-0 Azerbaijan

Despite suffering a convincing defeat to Belgium on Friday, we expect Sweden to bounce back with a relatively comfortable victory against Azerbaijan at Friends Stadium. Although the visitors do not represent the pushovers they may have done around a decade ago, the return of Ibrahimovic should provide plenty of character and ability to Sweden's frontline, especially with Kulusevski able to enjoy starting from a wider position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawAzerbaijan
55.04% (-0.347 -0.35) 24.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 20.4% (0.314 0.31)
Both teams to score 47.66% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (0.24 0.24)53.44% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (0.202 0.2)74.97% (-0.206 -0.21)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)19.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.89% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)51.11% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (0.475 0.48)40.91% (-0.478 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (0.423 0.42)77.48% (-0.426 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 55.02%
    Azerbaijan 20.4%
    Draw 24.55%
SwedenDrawAzerbaijan
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 10.67% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.4%

How you voted: Sweden vs Azerbaijan

Sweden
82.7%
Draw
10.0%
Azerbaijan
7.3%
110
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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