International Friendly

Nov 20, 2022 at 1pm UK

Nacionalna Arena Filip II Makedonski

N. Macedonia
1 - 3
Azerbaijan

Bardhi (25' pen.)
Nikolov (40'), Elmas (50')
Nikolov (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cafarquliyev (38'), Gurbanli (65'), Seydayev (89')
Mustafazada (34'), Mahmudov (49')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between North Macedonia and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-1 Finland
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Azerbaijan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Moldova 1-2 Azerbaijan
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

We said: North Macedonia 1-1 Azerbaijan

With the lower-ranked nation in much better form here, do not be surprised to see an upset, as Gianni De Biasi's men look to make history. North Macedonia have quality throughout their ranks, however, and should have enough to salvage a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
North Macedonia	Draw	Azerbaijan
55.69% ( 6.38)	24.51% ( 0.74)	19.8% ( -7.13)

Both teams to score 46.92% (

-10.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.04% (

-10.04)

53.96% (

10.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

-9.09)

75.4% (

9.1)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71% (

-1.36)

19.29% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.97% (

-2.29)

51.03% (

2.29)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.13% (

-12.05)

41.86% (

12.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.68% (

-12.42)

78.32% (

12.42)

Score Analysis

North Macedonia 55.67%

Azerbaijan 19.8%

Draw 24.51%

North Macedonia	Draw	Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 13.28% ( 4.09) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 3.03) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6% ( 1.48) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -1.04) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.49) Other @ 2.89% Total : 55.67%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 2.73) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -1.64) Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -1.69) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.85) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -1.25) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -1.13) Other @ 2% Total : 19.8%