UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 23, 2022 at 5pm UK

Georgia
2 - 0
N. Macedonia

Miovski (35' og.), Kvaratskhelia (64')
Khotcholava (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Musliu (13')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Georgia and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Georgia 0-0 Bulgaria
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

North Macedonia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: N. Macedonia 4-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

We said: Georgia 2-1 North Macedonia

With quality difference-makers set to take to the field for both teams this week, expect an open encounter with an abundance of goalmouth action, especially with a much-coveted promotion on the line. The defensive nous of Sagnol's men could make all the difference, though, and while the hosts may not pull off another comfortable 3-0 win, we have faith in Georgia to prevail and confirm their spot in League B at the expense of North Macedonia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
Georgia	Draw	North Macedonia
33.37% ( -0.08)	25.6% ( 0.04)	41.03% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.09% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

-0.18)

48.86% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

-0.16)

70.96% (

0.17)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

-0.14)

27.89% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

-0.18)

63.51% (

0.18)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.39% (

-0.05)

23.61% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.31% (

-0.08)

57.68% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Georgia 33.37%

North Macedonia 41.03%

Draw 25.6%

Georgia	Draw	North Macedonia
1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.37%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 41.03%