UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 10, 2022 at 5pm UK

Azerbaijan
0 - 1
Slovakia

Richard (19')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Weiss (81')
De Marco (74'), Satka (87'), Bero (90+3'), Weiss (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Azerbaijan and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

Last Six:

Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Azerbaijan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Slovakia

Last Six:

Last Game: Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

We said: Azerbaijan 1-2 Slovakia

With goals having been few and far between in this group, there is a feeling that this contest could go either way. However, we cannot ignore that Slovakia are by far the more reputable team here, and they have enough quality in attack to earn a hard-fought win in Mardakan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.14%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.42%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Slovakia
18.35% ( 0.07)	27.56% ( 0.03)	54.09% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 37.42% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.64% (

-0.02)

65.36% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.86% (

-0.01)

84.14% (

0.01)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.69% (

0.08)

50.3% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.13% (

0.05)

84.87% (

-0.05)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

-0.05)

24.7% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

-0.07)

59.24% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 18.35%

Slovakia 54.07%

Draw 27.54%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.35%	0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 17.37% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 12.14% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.99% Total : 54.07%