We said: Slovakia 2-2 Finland
Though they drew a blank last time out, Slovakia managed to net 10 times in their previous three games at the end of 2021, so are capable of causing a well-drilled Finland team some trouble.
This friendly encounter in the Spanish sunshine will give the nations' respective coaches a chance to blood some younger players, so it could be an open affair which ends in a score draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.