Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Finland had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France would win this match.