MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:04:10| >> :600:3357924:3357924:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Sweden national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Belgium national football team

Sweden
0 - 3
Belgium


Olsson (38'), Gustafson (62'), Lindelof (78'), Kulusevski (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukaku (35', 49', 82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Sweden and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Belgium

All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 0-0 Belgium
Thursday, December 1 at 3pm in World Cup

We said: Sweden 1-1 Belgium

 Belgium have won their last three games against Sweden, with the home side not beating their opponents here since 1961. This has all of the makings of a very interesting game, but we are struggling to separate the two teams, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawBelgium
31.25% (0.023 0.02) 28.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 40.33% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.83% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.33% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.51% (0.012 0.01)80.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (0.025999999999996 0.03)35.18% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (0.029 0.03)71.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.29% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)65.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 31.24%
    Belgium 40.33%
    Draw 28.4%
SwedenDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 31.24%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.77% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 40.33%

How you voted: Sweden vs Belgium

Sweden
28.9%
Draw
19.7%
Belgium
51.4%
249
Head to Head
Jun 22, 2016 8pm
Group E
Sweden
0-1
Belgium

Ekdal (33'), Johansson (36')
Nainggolan (84')
Meunier (30'), Witzel (45')
> Match Report
Jun 1, 2014 7.30pm
International Friendlies
Sweden
0-2
Belgium

Durmaz (73'), Bengtsson (77')
Lukaku (35'), Hazard (78')
> Match Report
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