Friendlies 1

Jan 12, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Do Algarve

Sweden
2 - 1
Iceland

Andersson (85'), Ondrejka (90+4')
Lagerbielke (29')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aron Gudjohnsen (30')
Magnusson (75'), Muminovic (81'), Orlygur Andrason (84'), Orlygur Andrason (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Sweden and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Finland
Monday, January 9 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Iceland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Estonia
Sunday, January 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

With both nations still on the footballing road to redemption after recent disappointments, we can envision a tightly-contested affair at the Estadio Algarve ending in a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Iceland
55.48% ( 1.33)	26.14% ( -0.29)	18.37% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 40.62% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.85% (

-0.17)

61.15% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.89% (

-0.13)

81.1% (

0.13)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

0.49)

22.25% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.3% (

0.74)

55.69% (

-0.74)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.25% (

-1.34)

47.74% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.95% (

-1.01)

83.04% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Sweden 55.47%

Iceland 18.37%

Draw 26.13%

Sweden	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 15.96% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.47%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.37%