MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 16:46:36| >> :60:47:47:
Iceland national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estádio da Nora
Estonia national football team

Iceland
1 - 1
Estonia

Gudjohnsen (90+1' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zenjov (45')
Kallaste (40'), Peetson (65'), Soomets (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Iceland and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Latvia 1-1 Iceland (7-8 pen.)
Saturday, November 19 at 2pm in Baltic Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Estonia 2-0 Lithuania
Saturday, November 19 at 2pm in Baltic Cup

We said: Iceland 1-1 Estonia

With Estonia able to name more experienced players than Iceland, we can envisage a share of the spoils in Portugal on Sunday in what is likely to be a low tempo affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
IcelandDrawEstonia
36.11%26.37%37.53%
Both teams to score 52.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24%51.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47%73.52%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38%27.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84%63.16%
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2%26.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91%62.08%
Score Analysis
    Iceland 36.11%
    Estonia 37.53%
    Draw 26.37%
IcelandDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.42%
1-3 @ 3.63%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.53%

How you voted: Iceland vs Estonia

Iceland
58.3%
Draw
16.7%
Estonia
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2019 4.45pm
International Friendlies
Estonia
0-0
Iceland
rhs 2.0
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