We said: Austria 2-2 Sweden
Both of these teams have been scoring and conceding plenty of goals lately, so we can envisage an entertaining encounter in Vienna.
Sweden will know that a defeat could potentially be fatal in terms of their hopes of qualifying for next summer's European Championship, but we believe they have enough about them to avoid defeat, with a share of the spoils potentially suiting both managers.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.