MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 18:43:20| >> :600:2157874:2157874:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Austria national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Estonia national football team

Austria
2 - 1
Estonia

Kainz (68'), Gregoritsch (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sappinen (25')
Paskotsi (34'), Kait (57'), Sinyavskiy (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Austria and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 4-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Estonia

All competitions
Last Game: Hungary 1-0 Estonia
Thursday, March 23 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Austria 3-0 Estonia

 Austria produced an excellent performance to see off Azerbaijan - who had won five matches in a row prior to arriving in Linz - last time out and we can envisage a similarly dominant result for them against Estonia. The visitors' stock has significantly fallen in recent years, and put simply they lack the individual quality to unsettle a team of Austria's calibre. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 18.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawEstonia
58.11% (-0.148 -0.15) 23.47% (0.087999999999997 0.09) 18.42% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.7% (-0.158 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.263 -0.26)51.74% (0.26 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.229 -0.23)73.51% (0.226 0.23)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)17.56% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.9% (-0.258 -0.26)48.1% (0.255 0.25)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)42.14% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)78.56% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Austria 58.1%
    Estonia 18.42%
    Draw 23.47%
AustriaDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 12.87% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.076 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 18.42%

How you voted: Austria vs Estonia

Austria
87.1%
Draw
4.0%
Estonia
8.9%
124
rhs 2.0
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