MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 03:00:31| >> :600:3570105:3570105:
Belgium national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Estonia national football team

Belgium
5 - 0
Estonia

Vertonghen (4'), Trossard (18'), Lukaku (56', 58'), De Ketelaere (88')
De Ketelaere (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mets (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belgium and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-1 Belgium
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Estonia 0-5 Sweden
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Belgium 4-0 Estonia

Victory is surely inevitable for a Belgium side still boasting plenty of talent in spite of recent retirements and injuries. As Estonia were walloped at the weekend, they will seek to keep the scoreline down in Brussels; but when space opens up as the game wears on, the Red Devils can take full advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawEstonia
63.92% (-0.125 -0.13) 20.86% (0.083000000000002 0.08) 15.21% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.13% (-0.173 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (-0.282 -0.28)46.39% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33% (-0.267 -0.27)68.67% (0.265 0.27)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)13.81% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.84% (-0.253 -0.25)41.16% (0.253 0.25)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.01% (-0.117 -0.12)42.99% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)79.28% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 63.91%
    Estonia 15.21%
    Draw 20.86%
BelgiumDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.8% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 63.91%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.94% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 20.86%
0-1 @ 5.01% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 15.21%

How you voted: Belgium vs Estonia

Belgium
90.2%
Draw
9.8%
Estonia
0.0%
61
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Estonia
0-3
Belgium

Sinyavskiy (23'), Ojamaa (27'), Tunjov (73')
Lukaku (37', 40'), Bakayoko (90')
Castagne (4'), Vranckx (22')
Nov 13, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belgium
3-1
Estonia
Benteke (11'), Carrasco (53'), Hazard (74')
Sorga (70')
Mets (14')
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Estonia
2-5
Belgium
Kait (2'), Sorga (83')
Tamm (55')
Vanaken (22'), Lukaku (29', 52'), Witsel (64'), Foket (76')
Lukaku (47'), Saelemaekers (61')
Jun 9, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Estonia
0-2
Belgium
Mertens (31'), Chadli (86')
Nov 13, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belgium
8-1
Estonia
Meunier (8'), Mertens (16', 68'), Hazard (25'), Carrasco (62'), Klavan (65' og.), Lukaku (83', 88')
Anier (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!