MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 23:59:40| >> :600:3818454:3818454:
Azerbaijan national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dalga Arena
Belgium national football team

Azerbaijan
0 - 1
Belgium


Seydayev (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carrasco (38')
Doku (90+2'), Batshuayi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Azerbaijan and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-1 Estonia
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Belgium
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Azerbaijan 0-2 Belgium

A huge gulf in class divides these sides, and Belgium will expect to make their supremacy pay. Azerbaijan's heavy losses have come away from home, though, so it may be a narrower margin that separates them than many expect. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawBelgium
24.65% (3.56 3.56) 26.93% (1.579 1.58) 48.41% (-5.137 -5.14)
Both teams to score 45.96% (-0.425 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.78% (-2.584 -2.58)58.22% (2.585 2.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.14% (-2.07 -2.07)78.86% (2.071 2.07)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.58% (2.014 2.01)39.42% (-2.014 -2.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (1.822 1.82)76.12% (-1.821 -1.82)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-3.335 -3.33)24.13% (3.336 3.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-4.985 -4.99)58.44% (4.986 4.99)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 24.65%
    Belgium 48.41%
    Draw 26.93%
AzerbaijanDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 8.86% (1.264 1.26)
2-1 @ 5.86% (0.608 0.61)
2-0 @ 4.12% (0.777 0.78)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.276 0.28)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.297 0.3)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.65%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.66 0.66)
0-0 @ 9.51% (0.897 0.9)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 13.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.61% (-1.006 -1.01)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.412 -0.41)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-1.007 -1.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.661 -0.66)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.62% (-0.565 -0.57)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.417 -0.42)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.41%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Belgium

Azerbaijan
11.1%
Draw
6.7%
Belgium
82.2%
90
rhs 2.0
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