MX23RW : Saturday, June 22 19:47:06| >> :60:2:2:
Germany national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Belgium national football team

Germany
2 - 3
Belgium

Fullkrug (44' pen.), Gnabry (87')
Nmecha (49')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carrasco (6'), Lukaku (9'), De Bruyne (78')
Onana (37'), Lukaku (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Germany and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Tuesday's international friendly with Belgium.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Peru
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 0-3 Belgium
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Germany 2-2 Belgium

Neither Flick nor Tedesco will lose sleep over the result of Tuesday's friendly, where avoiding injury may be the overriding goal for both sets of players before the resumption of their domestic campaigns. An exciting encounter should still be on the menu between two sides with plenty to prove, but we are finding it nigh-on impossible to separate the European foes this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawBelgium
48.24% (0.255 0.26) 24.51% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 27.25% (-0.33 -0.33)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.514 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-0.557 -0.56)46.95% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (-0.523 -0.52)69.2% (0.524 0.52)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)19.53% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.57% (-0.192 -0.19)51.42% (0.194 0.19)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)31.15% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (-0.632 -0.63)67.48% (0.63499999999999 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Germany 48.24%
    Belgium 27.25%
    Draw 24.5%
GermanyDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.195 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Germany vs Belgium

Germany
47.4%
Draw
21.4%
Belgium
31.2%
154
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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