MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 14:45:11| >> :60:10:10:
Germany national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Belgium national football team

Germany
2 - 3
Belgium

Fullkrug (44' pen.), Gnabry (87')
Nmecha (49')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carrasco (6'), Lukaku (9'), De Bruyne (78')
Onana (37'), Lukaku (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Germany and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Tuesday's international friendly with Belgium.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Peru
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 0-3 Belgium
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Germany 2-2 Belgium

Neither Flick nor Tedesco will lose sleep over the result of Tuesday's friendly, where avoiding injury may be the overriding goal for both sets of players before the resumption of their domestic campaigns. An exciting encounter should still be on the menu between two sides with plenty to prove, but we are finding it nigh-on impossible to separate the European foes this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawBelgium
48.24% (0.255 0.26) 24.51% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 27.25% (-0.33 -0.33)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.514 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-0.557 -0.56)46.95% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (-0.523 -0.52)69.2% (0.524 0.52)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)19.53% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.57% (-0.192 -0.19)51.42% (0.194 0.19)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)31.15% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (-0.632 -0.63)67.48% (0.63499999999999 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Germany 48.24%
    Belgium 27.25%
    Draw 24.5%
GermanyDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.195 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Germany vs Belgium

Germany
47.4%
Draw
21.4%
Belgium
31.2%
154
rhs 2.0
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