![Estonia national football team Estonia national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/estlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
![Azerbaijan national football team Azerbaijan national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/azelog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Estonia0 - 2Azerbaijan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgium 5-0 Estonia
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Belgium | 5 | 12 | 13 |
2 | Austria | 5 | 8 | 13 |
3 | Sweden | 5 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Azerbaijan | 4 | -9 | 1 |
5 | Estonia | 5 | -14 | 1 |
Last Game: Azerbaijan 2-1 Jordan
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Belgium | 5 | 12 | 13 |
2 | Austria | 5 | 8 | 13 |
3 | Sweden | 5 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Azerbaijan | 4 | -9 | 1 |
5 | Estonia | 5 | -14 | 1 |
We said: Estonia 1-2 Azerbaijan
A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched nations could be on the cards on Friday, but considering Estonia's recent troubles in defence and Azerbaijan's solid performances against Belgium and Jordan last time out, we believe that the visitors will do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.
Result | ||
Estonia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
28.36% (![]() | 26.04% (![]() | 45.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% (![]() | 52.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.71% (![]() | 74.29% (![]() |
Estonia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.72% (![]() | 33.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.1% (![]() | 69.9% (![]() |
Azerbaijan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% (![]() | 23.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.15% (![]() | 56.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estonia 28.36%
Azerbaijan 45.59%
Draw 26.04%
Estonia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
1-0 @ 8.43% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.36% | 1-1 @ 12.38% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 11.25% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.59% |
How you voted: Estonia vs Azerbaijan
Estonia
21.1%Draw
27.4%Azerbaijan
51.6%95
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2023 5pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 12:27:21
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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