Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 72.02%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 10.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
