Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-3 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.