Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.